NFL Week 1 Betting Preview: Look for Value
Writing by bettingfool on Monday, 1 of September , 2008 at 4:16 pm
It’s the start of another NFL season. Everything is beautiful at this time of year, because everybody can say that his team is in first place, undefeated.
Sixteen teams will get a rude awakening this week. Figuring out which ones is more difficult at this time of year, simply because the data isn’t there to evaluate. Last year’s numbers only give us a hazy picture of what might happen in 2008. Change comes in the form of new coaches, draft picks, preseason injuries, and players whose careers are on an upward or downward slope.
If you judge these factors well, you’ll be ahead of the betting public. This is the heart of “value” betting. Look at the Kansas City-New England opener. Kansas City has quietly improved, especially through the draft, while the Patriots have the burden of expectations after playing amazingly well in 2007. The Chiefs have value, provided the betting line heavily favors the Pats.
Category: NFL Football
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